Carson City leads nation in warming trend
By Sandra Chereb, AP
CARSON CITY — Don Quilici has snookered a few Carson City newcomers with bets that it would snow the week of his birthday in early May.
Unsuspecting gamblers often don’t know that a sliver of the western Nevada city’s boundaries extend to Lake Tahoe and encompass Snow Valley Peak at a towering 9,214 feet.
“As an average, I’d win eight out of 10 years,” said Quilici, 80, a Carson City native.
Lately, though, he hasn’t been so lucky. That’s because Nevada’s capital city is getting hotter.
An Associated Press analysis of federal temperature records shows Carson City has warmed the most than any other city in the nation in the last 30 years.
The average temperature in Carson City has risen 4.1 degrees since 1984. Boise, Idaho, came in second, posting a rise of 4 degrees. Las Vegas, known for its sweltering summers, was sixth, with an increase of 3.4 degrees.
But it’s the boost in summertime heat that really makes Carson City stand out.
The average temperature for June, July and August has soared 6.8 degrees over the last three decades, 2.2 degrees warmer than second-place Boise and 2.4 degrees higher than third-place Las Vegas.
The summertime average temperature is up from about 68 degrees to nearly 75.
Because the data on cities are based on one weather station and readings can be affected by urban heating and development, trends are not as scientifically robust as those of states or regions within states, but they do have value, said National Climatic Data Center monitoring chief Derek Arndt.
The change in Carson City is becoming noticeable in subtle ways.
Plants and trees are prone to bloom earlier, and more people are installing air conditioners. The systems were a rarity even a decade ago, when many residents didn’t want to spend the money when only a couple of weeks in August seemed insufferable.
Justin Anderson, owner of Anderson Heating & Air Conditioning, in operation for 32 years, said he “never knew that so many people didn’t have air conditioning before.”
David Ruf of Greenhouse Garden Center was surprised by the amount of warming that’s taken place but not by the warming itself.
Ruf, whose father started the business 40 years ago, keeps meticulous weather records.
“When we started here, usually there was a temperature swing between night and day of 45 degrees,” Ruf said. “Now we seem to be 35 degrees.”
He and other long-time residents note Carson City’s geography. Nestled in a valley at the base of the Carson Range, the city is ringed by hills and mountains.
And as the city has grown, more roads, asphalt, homes and commercial development have cropped up — ingredients for heat absorption and urban warming.
In 1984, about 35,000 people lived here, government data say, and today the population is 55,000. Instead of fields and meadows, there are houses and commercial complexes.
Sam Lompa, who lives on a ranch in the heart of Carson City, feels the warming effects.
“When I was a kid, we never had any air conditioners,” said Lompa, 71, who grew up on the ranch. Now he uses fans and a swamp cooler but doesn’t fret much about the temperature.
“If it’s hot, it’s hot, and if it’s cold, it’s cold,” he said.
Ruf, too, is skeptical of putting too much emphasis on temperature shifts, even though this May seemed unusually warm, with temperatures in the 80s.
“Every time I say it’s getting hotter, the next year gets colder,” Ruf said. “Mother Nature can still pack a wallop.”
Cosa Pescado would argue that this is just weather, not climate. Give it another year or two so that we’re beyond the 30 year threshold, and then we’ll have something to discuss.
Ahh, Just now, the rumble of thunder as a small group of clouds come rolling in from the west. A wonderful sound that will hopefully bring in some rain to dampen down our dry trees and underbrush.
Fond memories of working the old red tram at Heavenly Valley in the summer time, watching the lightning flash around the lake late at night as the lightning flash was reflecting off the lake. What a sight!
No thunder at the moment but that didn’t stop me from bringing things inside I don’t want to get wet.
C’mon, I want some more thunder, lightning and a nice Tahoe summer rain storm. Think weather, OLS
Obviously weather, not climate.
‘The average temperature in Carson City has risen 4.1 degrees since 1984’
‘Cosa Pescado would argue that this is just weather, not climate. Give it another year or two so that we’re beyond the 30 year threshold, and then we’ll have something to discuss.’
A moron would use a straw man.
A person with a basic understanding of climate would want to discuss climate using the proper definition.
So lets take a more advanced look at this, for you this is algebra. How many points define a line?
How many points do we have here?
2014 – 1984 = ?
OLS… love your description of what it feels and sounds like to experience mountain living! I’m in the Bay Area, and need to get back up there for a mountain “fix”.
OMG-Cosa used an arabic word for a branch of mathematics…by Bill O’Really’s logic-HE MUST BE A MUSLIM! After all, they are from the desert…where it’s hot. And dry. See-Global Warming is an Al-Qaida plot!
Sorry dude-you’ve been out-ed.
Cosa—
You need to go back to school.
Two points define a line, and a slope of the line in a linear sense. Basic math, not even geometry or algebra usually teaches this.
But nature is NOT linear.
No algebraic function can describe the variations in all the points between 1984 and 2014 unless it is a linear relationship. Did you just air head away what happened in ’85, ’86 etc.
Plot them all and you will see the trend. It is rising, not level or falling. The observed trend is only accurate for the time frame measured.
IE a cold snowy winter like ’10-’11 can still happen within an overal rising trend of temp.
If you need me to, I can define linear for you, but I’ll give you the benefit of the doubt and just say you were too busy trying to do a gotcha and you just forgot.
HMMMMM-
Loved your post. Unfortunately, I am afraid too many people think like this.
Cosa- If I told you that I hadn’t had a drink since last weekend, would you take that to mean that I did drink last weekend but haven’t since? So what does the author of this story mean by “since 1984?” Unfortunately there’s no link to the referenced AP analysis, so we don’t know if the data includes 1984 or not, or if it includes part of 2014 or not.
Maybe it was compiled by an AP intern who did a few google searches, and now this AP reporter is referencing it and hoping nobody notices that “AP analysis” doesn’t really mean much without further details? Ah, doesn’t matter when it supports global warming, does it?
This is the kind of loose reporting bulked up by anecdotal quotes from average Joes that, had it come from Fox News and painted a different picture, I think you would have been quick to criticize.
Oh, and “straw man?” You keep using that phrase. I do not think it means what you think it means. Besides, just because a rhetorical tool has a name doesn’t mean that its use is only for morons.
‘Cosa Pescado would argue that this is just weather, not climate. ‘
That’s a straw man.
How many of the examples found here are you guilty of: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Straw_man
I think you misunderstand what I meant earlier. A lot of people on here will reference temperature, ice coverage, other data points that are climate related, in a time frame that is nowhere near one unit of climate. 29 years is close enough, when compared to the nonsense people post here. ‘It was so cold on the East Coast this year, so much for global warming’. People seriously say that, and get mad when they are mocked.
So what exactly is your point?
Still struggling with the concept of climate, eh? How well do you remember intro to Statistics? n where s -> S, think about it like that.
‘Two points define a line, and a slope of the line in a linear sense. ‘
No way, get the function out of here.
‘But nature is NOT linear.’
Fractals maaaaaaaaaaaaaaaan
‘If you need me to, I can define linear for you,’
Please, but be straight with me. This matter is integral to my understanding.